#249: Polymarket's back in US. Easy "buys" at the moment.
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Polymarket’s back in the US - what is it?
Easy “buys” from a year-end perspective
Polymarket’s back in the US - what is it?
The CFTC earlier this month approved Polymarket’s return to US markets after a 3-year absense. The platform can now offer real-money prediction markets through a registered intermediary — think betting on election outcomes, economic indicators, or major events, but under federal supervision.
The regulatory shift: This marks a major CFTC policy change—the agency previously raised concerns about consumer protection and unregulated wagering, but now signals certain prediction markets can operate legally under the Commodity Exchange Act with proper oversight (reporting, surveillance, record-keeping).
What makes it work now: Polymarket’s new model requires the same regulatory safeguards as traditional derivatives markets. Companies can now access US markets if they engage early with regulators and structure offerings within the federal framework — a potential roadmap for blockchain-based derivatives and prediction market platforms.
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Easy “buys” from a year-end perspective
With Polymarket back in the US, here are some low-risk plays expiring by end of the year.
These are binary contracts trading at 99+ cents that pay out $1.00 if correct, offering attractive annualized returns relative to risk. Keep in mind you can lose it all on a wrong call, but when you're buying at 99 cents for near-certain outcomes, the risk-reward math gets interesting for year-end cash deployment.
💡 IMO: Any extra cash till end of the year, I’d spread out across these markets for diversified risk.
